AI Experts Sharpen Timeline for Human-Level Machine Intelligence to 2047
Artificial intelligence researchers have significantly accelerated their predictions for when machines might match human capabilities. According to new analysis, experts now give a 50% probability that AI systems could outperform humans across all tasks by 2047—13 years sooner than previous estimates. The accelerated timeline comes alongside growing concerns about governance gaps and catastrophic risks.
Artificial intelligence researchers are dramatically revising their predictions about when machines might achieve human-level capabilities, with new analysis suggesting a 50% chance of human-equivalent AI emerging by 2047. That timeline has moved forward by 13 years compared to just three years ago, according to research findings that highlight both the accelerating pace of AI development and growing concerns about societal preparedness.
